Although the far-right party of Jordan Bardella and Marine Le Pen, and their allies, will hardly obtain an absolute majority, the latest polls show that they could gain the support of centrist voters and the most nonconformist right.
According to the latest polls carried out before the second round of the elections legislative elections this Sunday in Francethe far-right National Rally party of Jordan Bardella and Marine Le Pen, will have difficulty reaching an absolute majority.
The average of the most recent forecasts says that the political party and its allies will have a relative majority of between 210 and 240 seats in the National Assembly, the Lower House of France’s Parliament. The absolute majority is set at 289 seats.
It is expected that the left coalition, the New Popular Front achieved between 170 and 200 seats. For their part, the centrist liberal democrats of the French president, Emmanuel Macron, would reach between 95 and 125 seats, according to the polls. The Republicans, center-right, between 25 and 45.
If these predictions are confirmed on Sunday, it is likely that Bardella, a politician from the National Group, don’t become the new prime ministersince it would not have enough deputies to lead the French executive branch, not even with the additional support of The Republicans. Even in the best-case scenario, he probably won’t reach an absolute majority. However, he hopes to get a last-minute boost.
“I have the objective of expanding my majority, and I give the welcome to all right-wing and centrist voters“Bardella declared last Wednesday in an interview on France 2, a national public channel.
Traditionally, French parties without a majority tend to suggest to their voters that they support the political forces let them go to obtain the best result in a specific constituency in the second round. However, party leaders have limited persuasive power over their respective electorates.
“The French do not follow voting instructions. A citizen will vote according to his conscience“said acting prime minister and centrist politician on Macron’s team, Gabriel Attal, in an interview on state television on Thursday night.
“I limited myself to underlining the risk of a majority of extreme rightand detailed what is dangerous in your program, and I concluded by saying: not a single vote for the extreme right. However, after that, the French do what they want,” he concluded.
The so-called Republican Front, the political barrier against the extreme right stretching from moderate conservatives and centrists to the moderate left and the extreme left, has adopted a electoral strategy based on withdrawing the weakest candidates in favor of the strongest candidate, against the extreme right, in individual constituencies.
According to the latest figures from the French Ministry of the Interior, so far A total of 215 candidates have withdrawn.
