The Popular Party would have been the most voted option in the European elections this Sunday and would obtain between 21 and 23 MEPs, although it could tie with the PSOE, which would obtain between 20 and 22, according to the Sigma Dos survey for RTVE.
He Popular Partyr would have been the most voted option in the European elections this Sunday and would get between 21 and 23 MEPs, although it could tie with the PSOE, which would get between 20 and 22, according to the survey Sigma Two for RTVE .
According to the data from this survey, made public at the close of the polling stations, the unknown will remain regarding the difference in seats in the European Parliament between PP y PSOE until the last moment.
The poll gives 32.4% of the votes to the PP and 30.2% to the PSOEand places in third place Voxwhich with 10.4% of the votes would obtain between 6 and 7 MEPs.
summerwith 6.3% of the votes he would achieve 3 or 4 seats in the European Parliament, and We canwith 4.4% of the votes it would be done with 2 or 3 representatives.
New far-right group
Behind, with 4.3%, it would be Now Republicswhich brings together ERC, EH Bildu and BNG, and which would get 2 or 3 MEPs, followed by The Party is Overwhich would also obtain between 2 or 3 seats.
together would obtain 1 with 2.1% of the votes and CEUSwhich includes PNV y Canarian Coalitionwould also have 1 MEP with 1.6% of the votes.
He would remain outside the European Parliament Citizensa formation that would obtain 1% of the votes but that is not enough to get at least one representative.
The advance of the extreme right forces Macron to call elections
Marine Le Pen’s ultranationalist right would have achieved a great victory in the European elections, comfortably prevailing over President Emmanuel Macron’s party, according to estimates at the close of the polling stations. Le Pen’s National Regroupment (RN) would obtain the 32,4% of votes, more than double that of Macron’s candidacy, with around 16%, according to the institute’s calculations Ifop for string ‘TF1‘and the diary’Le Figaro‘.
A first estimate of election results produced by the European Parliament suggests that the Green and liberal Renew Europe parties will each lose around 20 MEPs, potentially jeopardizing the pro-European majority needed to back senior officials and support EU laws. .
Environmentalists also decline
The projection, based on exit polls and other analyses, shows that the Green Party will gain only 53 MEPs, down from 72 in March 2024.
Renew Europeheaded by the French president Emmanuel Macronfell from 102 seats to 82, the figures suggest.
This is confirmed by the growing support for far-right parties, even if some of them have not yet been assigned to political groups.
In France, projections suggest that Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally party has won a whopping 31.5% of the vote, more than double of the number obtained by Macron.
Austrian far-right doubles seats
The far-right Freedom Party of Austria is also expected to top the polls in Austria, doubling its number of MEPs to six after winning 27% of the vote, according to a poll by public broadcaster ORF.
Second place is a close battle between the People’s Party Austrian, center-right, with five MEPs (compared to seven) and 23.5%, and the socialists of the Austrian Social Democratic Party, also with five MEPs and 23% of the votes.
In Germanythe Christian Democratic Party is expected to CDU y CSU get around 30% of the vote, similar to 29% in 2019, followed by the far-right Alternative for Germany in second place with 16.5%, up from 11%. in 2019. They are followed by the chancellor’s Social Democrats Olaf Scholz with 14% and the Greens with 12%. Participation is 64%.
These rightward tendencies are confirmed in Spain, where Vox is expected to increase its representation by two or three MEPs, while the newcomers The party is overalso identified as far-right, will get their first two or three MEPs upon leaving, polls suggest.
In the Netherlands, where the vote took place on Thursday, the far-right Freedom Party, Geert Wilders will get seven seats. That turn was not as extreme as some expected, allowing the Green-Left-Labor alliance, which will win eight Dutch seats in the European Parliament, to claim victory.
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One of the first tasks of MEPs will be to approve the candidate to lead the European Commission, and the incumbent president, Ursula von der Leyen, hopes to win a second term.
Electoral dynamics could make that more challenging, as early polls suggest a weakening of the coalition that narrowly supported her in 2019, when she won 383 votes, just seven more than she needed.
No party has a majority in the European Parliament and votes are often decided topic by topic finding a coalition that obtains the required majority.
The chamber has always been dominated by its two large groups, the People’s Party center-right European and the center-left Socialists.
The two lost their combined majority in the 2019 elections, since then they have had to form informal alliances with parties such as the Verdes and the Liberalsand polls suggest they are unlikely to recover it in 2024.
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