What would a large-scale regional war in the Middle East look like? Will it be an air, sea or land war? Will the United States inevitably become involved in this war?
A year after Hamas’ horrific “terrorist attacks” on Israel, the Middle East is caught in an unstoppable cycle of violence and escalating military conflict between Israel and Iran and the country’s proxies.
new phase of progress towards the start of a full-scale war It could be Israel’s retaliatory strike in response to Iran’s missile attack on Tel Aviv this week. Despite the lack of deaths, many senior Israeli leaders, such as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, insist that Iran must pay the price for an attack on Israeli territory.
What would attacks and air combat be like?
Possible attack may include: long range air strikes It was deliberately spread across this vast country to counter Iran’s most vulnerable nuclear facilities.
Complex attack combination to execute the attack GBU-57 bunker busting bombs inside aviones F-15 Strike Eagle and handle demanding in-flight refueling operations. The Israelis need to attack many facilities; At least 21 atomic facilities have been discovered in Iran so far, including Natanz, Fardu, Arak and Parchin, and dozens of warplanes will undoubtedly be needed for this air strike.
Then, Israel must acquire air fleets for attackThere are also special warplanes such as F-35 and special electronic warfare planes. This number of warplanes will not be allowed to fly over regional countries. At the same time Israeli air force may face defensive attack Syria and Iraq will refuse to give up their territory, Türkiye and Azerbaijan will refuse to give up their airspace. Russia’s S-300 air defenses and Iran’s MiG-29 and F-14 fighter jetsWhile they are not a formidable tool against Israeli air power, they make any attack difficult.
In contrast, Iran’s reaction to Israel will be harsh, as the country’s top officials say. Most likely, Hezbollah will begin repeatedly launching surface-to-surface missiles against Israeli territory. Experts estimate that so far a third of Hezbollah’s 130,000-strong arsenal may have been lost or depleted due to Israeli attacks and bombing of the country.
Therefore, according to a group of military experts, If only half of the remaining missiles were fired in waves Successive attacks against Tel Aviv, Haifa, military installations, Mossad facilities and political centers in Tel Aviv and Jerusalem, Civilian casualties and casualties can be significantEven Israel’s strong air defense is taken into account.
Moreover, Following Israel’s attack on Iran, Hamas is likely to execute the remaining hostages from the October 7 attackstill has it. There is also a high probability of terrorist and suicide attacks against Jews in Israel and some other countries. The Houthis in Yemen may also intensify long-range missile attacks, contributing to attacks on Israeli territory or attacks on Red Sea merchant fleets and oil facilities of regional countries.
While military experts remain skeptical about the relevance of Iran’s ballistic missiles, they do believe that Iran’s ballistic missiles are being used extensively. Iranian Zardkhana is approximately 3,000 aircraft in stockSince Israel’s surface area is small, it can compensate for many of the missile’s flaws and shortcomings and cause serious damage to the country.
At the same time Iran is likely to launch drone attacks by Iranian Shiite militias in Syria or in western Iraq against Israel’s secret nuclear facilities and IDF air forces. It seems that the attacks will be accompanied by an increase in cyber attacks between the two countries.
By sea and land: two other fronts
Iranian navy may also attack Fleets of Western countries in the Persian Gulf The oil facilities of the Arab states are in alliance with Israel and, most importantly, they are trying to close the Strait of Hormuz. This means: Use of sea-to-land, sea-to-sea and land-to-sea missiles, minasSmall speedboats and submarines owned by Iran.
Although Iran’s ground operation seems unlikely at first glance, Iran may deploy additional forces to aid militias supported by Syria Lebanon It carries out ground operations by sending Iraq-based militants from countries bordering Israel, namely Syria and Lebanon.
las Interruptions in the flow of oil and gasIt is laying the foundations of a global and regional coalition against Iran, which could cause a new shock in the world economy.
It is almost certain that The USA will enter an all-out war between Israel and Iran. The Israelis want significant combat support: the highest level of intelligence with reconnaissance planes and satellites, cyber attack support, advanced munitions and aerial refueling.
Arab and Western countries that are allies of the USAIran, which initially tried to maintain its neutrality only to take advantage of the declining power of proxy powers and Iran’s military power, inevitably joined forces with the USA and Israel after the outbreak of the oil crisis and started an all-out war in the Middle East. war.
Generally, A large-scale regional war between Israel and Iran would harm the global economyIt would kill tens of thousands of soldiers and civilians, bring other countries around the world into war with Iran, and destroy Iran’s infrastructure.
But despite serious threats from both sides, it is possible that Iran and Israel will stop attacking each other at the last moment and return to their war, given the serious consequences of a large-scale war in the Middle East. The previous style was Iran’s proxy attack on Israel and pressure from Tel Aviv.