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Euroviews: Has the war in Ukraine affected Armenia’s strategic position?

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The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not in any way represent the editorial position of Euronews.

Armenia’s relations with Russia are undoubtedly complex. But Vlad Olteanu writes that Armenia’s behavior during Russia’s invasion of Ukraine exemplifies the difficult decisions that small countries have to make when caught between great powers.

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las relationships related to Armenia fraud Russia Undoubtedly they complicated. But Vlad Olteanu writes that Armenia’s conduct during the invasion of Ukraine exemplifies the difficult decisions that small countries have to face when caught between great powers.

Armenia invaded historically A. difficult geopolitical locationBetween the opposing goals of the West and Russia. With the start of Russia’s war in Ukraine, Armenia’s role turned into one that uses its own advantage. unique relationship The situation with Russia raises questions about the country using its position to circumvent Western sanctions and shore up its economy.

Although not a direct participant in the conflict, economic connections Armenia’s union with Russia focus of criticismespecially the re-export of raw materials and trade facilitation between sanctioned Russian organizations and international market.

economic relationship Armenia with Russia in bloomEspecially after the sanctions imposed by the West on Russia due to the invasion of Ukraine. Russia stated that there was a strong growth in trade between the two countries, reaching 7.4 billion dollars (6.8 billion euros) last year and exceeding 8.3 billion dollars (7.7 billion euros), increasing 2.5 times in the first half of this year. noted. It is estimated that if the current pace continues, the trade volume could reach 14,000-16,000 million dollars (approximately 12,900 and 14,800 million euros respectively) by the end of this year.

This rapid expansion can be interpreted as follows: exploitation by Armenia re-export center statusallowing Russia Bypassing Western sanctions It was implemented due to the invasion of Ukraine. Therefore, Armenia is likely to be actively involved in re-exports. precious stones you oro Russians. Armenia exported 4.5 million carats in 2023 diamondswell 30 times what the Republic produces.

According to critical views, Armenia is not a passive observer

Rise of Armenia highlighted paper inside geopolitical space indirectly strengthened Russia’s economic resilience in the face of sanctions. While Armenia focuses on protecting its national interests, this dynamic concernsabout weight loss between global efforts with isolating Russia.

Armenia is helping to reduce the impact of sanctions by allowing re-exports and maintaining strong trade relations. Russia keep having it access A. limited products and technologies. As the war progresses, Armenia will face increased scrutiny, especially as the international community evaluates the consequences of maintaining economic ties with the Russian Federation.

Armenia’s close ties with Russia did not go unnoticed. Western reaction happened relatively moderate. Behind the scenes, well-organized lobbying efforts, perhaps directed by influential elites and supported by large public relations and communications firms, appear to be playing an important role.

This successful lobbying campaign underscores a broader problem: Armenia’s ability to manipulate and maintain important relationships with both the West and Russia. western perspectives About economic relations with Russia.

As a result, it becomes increasingly difficult to distinguish whether it is or not. Armenian diplomatic efforts son truly sincere or opportunistic maneuvers It was designed to exploit global instability, especially in the context of the Ukrainian conflict.

Armenian politicians, especially Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, tried to distance Yerevan from Russia after the war in Ukraine. However, close economic ties an indicator of the country more complex reality. Armenia’s economic expansion, fueled by trade with Russia, appears to be indirectly subsidized by the war.

Critics argue that Armenia is an observer and not just a passive observer. active actor in one Network supporting Russia’s war effort. While Armenia has strengthened its economy by using its territory and economy to circumvent sanctions, it has also arguably undermined global stability.

complicated relationships

Armenia has traditionally been dependent on Russia for security and economic support, especially due to ongoing tensions with Armenia. Azerbaijan. However, relations between the two countries have deteriorated in recent years.

Armenian Revolution 2018This development, which brought Pashinyan to power, marked a significant change as Armenia began to move away from Moscow’s influence. This tension increased even more with the war. Nagorno-Karabakh In the conflicts with Azerbaijan in 2020 and September 2022, Russia hesitated to intervene decisively on behalf of Armenia, despite being a nominal mediator.

Russia’s focus on invading Ukraine caused Armenia to feel increasingly isolated. Azerbaijan’s rapid military operation against Nagorno-Karabakh in 2023 and the subsequent exodus of Armenians from Nagorno-Karabakh further deepened the conflict. disappointment Armenia with Russia. Moscow was criticized for not preventing Azerbaijan’s actions.

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Armenia’s relations with Russia are undoubtedly complicated. However, Armenia’s attitude during the occupation of Ukraine is exemplary. tough decisions what they have to face smaller countries when they see each other caught between great powers.

As the war progresses, Armenia will face a situation. increased scrutinyEspecially as the international community evaluates the consequences of maintaining economic ties with the Russian Federation.

Vlad Olteanu is the founder of i3pact EU and an expert on EU issues. At Euronews, we believe that all opinions are important. To submit a pitch or pitch and be part of the conversation, contact us at view@euronews.com.

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