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Trump’s election victory casts shadow over international climate talks in Baku

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This article was first published at: English

The United States is the second largest emitter of greenhouse gases in the world and the largest historical emitter to date.

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A few days before the season starts COP29 Donald Trump won the American elections in Baku. Trump is a public figure climate change denier He who has repeatedly called global warming a hoax and promised to once again withdraw the United States from the Paris Agreement. The United States is the second largest emitter of greenhouse gases in the world and the largest historical emitter to date.

The fact that other countries expect the United States to step back from climate leadership within the next four years could provide a golden opportunity for someone to step in and fill the void. Or the shadow of the US elections may emerge as politics around the world shifts to the right. limit action at this year’s peak.

US climate envoy says election result ‘completely disappointing’

At previous COP conferences, major agreements were only made USA and China they managed to talk a way About the issues in question. Previous US climate envoy John Kerry resigned earlier this year, shortly after his Chinese counterpart Xie Zhenhua announced his resignation.

Together they contributed to last year’s COP28 negotiations, which resulted in an agreement for the world to “move away” from fossil fuels.

John Podesta He took over from Kerry and announced that these elections were held at the press conference he held at the summit. “a bitter disappointment” For those committed to climate action. First of all, he added, “for the unprecedented resources and ambition that President Biden and Vice President Harris are bringing to the climate fight.”

Podesta regretted that “this particular outcome is harder to bear as the dangers we face become more and more catastrophic.” He highlighted climate denialism, saying Trump’s relationship with climate change is reflected in the words ‘hoax’ and ‘fossil fuels’.none of these are scams“Podesta added: “This is real.”

New US climate envoy says it’s clear Trump Administration will seek to reverse many of the policies initiated by Biden. However, a few months after Trump came to office, the current administration make the most of your remaining time. In Baku, the superpower will continue to work to make progress on climate, including the agreement reached in Dubai last year. trio Yes renewable energies from here to there 2030.

Podesta emphasized that: Support -most renewable energies happened bipartisan In the US, automakers continue to invest in electrification and hybridization, and the agricultural industry continues to decarbonize. “Are we facing a new situation? head winds? Certainly. So will we go back to the energy system of the 1950s? In no way”.

Will Donald Trump abandon the Paris Agreement?

Donald Trump withdrew the United States from the Paris Agreement in the final period of his presidency. After a three-year delay, the world’s leading power is finally first country to leave the agreement On November 4, 2020.

One of President Joe Biden’s first acts in office was to sign an executive order. reunite to the agreement. The United States officially rejoined on February 19, 2021, 107 days after its departure.

Trump looks ready now withdraw from the agreement once again And this time it won’t take that long. It may only be a year before the country becomes one of the few countries not part of the agreement.

Todd Stern, the Obama Administration’s former climate negotiator, said it would be “shocking” if Trump did not withdraw the United States from Paris again. “So I think countries will now obviously be upset and disappointed because of course They already experienced this“.

‘Politico’ reported in June that Trump could be forced to go further and leave the party. UN agreement This is what underpins the entire agreement. USA leaving the country Framework Agreement United Nations Climate Change (CMNUCC) would be a serious blow to international climate cooperation. This will leave the country on the sidelines of important international talks.

The US decision to sit on the sidelines could have many consequences. The North American country’s impact on the rest of the world is not insignificant and, if not contributing to global climate efforts, will increase the pressure on the rest of the world To reduce emissions. With the world’s second-largest greenhouse gas polluter withdrawing from the agreement, others may use it as an excuse to do less than they do now.

Other countries for example Chinesecan benefit from opportunity to increase your impact Let’s take a step forward in the absence of the USA in the Baku negotiations. The emergence of new national climate plans and a new target for climate finance from COP29, expected early next year, will be a test of how determined the world is to turn its climate commitments into reality. Nine years after the Paris Agreement was signed, experts say other nations are unlikely to follow the U.S. lead, at least under the Trump administration.

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Uncertainty around climate finance

This year, countries must renew their commitments Financing the fight against climate changeIt was called the newly measured collective goal (NCQG). It is intended to replace the annual commitment of $100 billion (94 billion euros) made in Copenhagen in 2009.

Rich countries have only just begun to achieve this goal, and detailed analysis now shows that: At least 2.4 trillion dollars are needed (2.4 billion euros) every year from now until 2030 Helping developing countries meet their climate goals.

“Let’s get rid of the idea that funding the fight against climate change is charity. ambitious new climate finance target completely repeats for the benefit of everyone And every country, including the largest and richest,” UN climate chief Simon Stiell said in his opening speech to delegates.

As Stiell said, this includes large, rich countries like the United States. Contributions of rich countries to climate funds are generally based on: pressure from other donors who pledged large sums. As the second Trump term approaches, possibilities for the country to make a commitment significant amount Climate finance at COP29 quite low. this can do other countries they felt less inclined Contributing the same amount of money as before.

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